All proper, NFL Week 1 is within the books, because of this it’s time to overreact to no matter took place as we head into Week 2. This can be a custom as previous as Tom Brady himself, taking a look at what we were given fallacious in Week 1 (hi, 49ers) after which utterly overreacting (don’t drop Trey Lance simply but, m’kay?).

So let’s undergo a couple of surprises from Week 1, and check out and determine what it manner going ahead. Beginning with …

The 49ers’ loss to the Bears: I imply, what number of sportsbooks cashed three-team teasers since the Niners went belly-up on this recreation? All proper: It was once Lance’s first recreation because the authentic San Francisco QB1, at Soldier Box, with Eli Mitchell leaving the sport with an damage and George Kittle now not suiting up and the sector stipulations similar to what Noah noticed when he seemed out his window.

Obviously, now not a perfect opening day state of affairs. So: Let’s now not overreact to this one.

The Patriots’ loss to the Dolphins: The Matt Patricia/Joe Pass judgement on offensive co-coordinator (or no matter they’re doing) factor went about in addition to anticipated. Level being: The Patriots seemed horrible. Upload in Mac Jones most likely being banged up, and a subpar offensive line, and the sum general of 0 playmakers on offense, and a defensive backfield this is #notgood … yeah. Be happy to correctly react right here. The Patriots are in hassle, and the sport has — well-known remaining phrases right here — most likely handed Invoice Belichick by way of.

The Packers’ loss to the Vikings: Aaron Rodgers might want weekly ayahuasca periods to get via this season. Let’s face it: Rodgers is mercurial, and it’s imaginable that with out his on-field thoughts meld spouse Davante Adams, Rodgers — who obviously has different issues but even so the NFL on his thoughts — could be looked at.

Verdict: I believe we’re correctly reacting. This crew could be toast.

The Chiefs are higher with out Tyreek Hill?: One recreation does now not a season make, however is it imaginable that defenses now can’t simply key on Kelce and Hill? Bear in mind remaining yr, when the Chiefs have been “solved” with two-safety protection, doing away with the deep ball? Neatly … now what are defenses meant to do? Kelce is Kelce, JuJu was once jitterbugging all over the place the beneath, MVS and Hardman need to command deep ball recognize, CEH was once exposed popping out of the backfield. The Chiefs are simply effective. 

The Bengals aren’t as much as snuff: The Bengals will have to have received that recreation Sunday. I imply, they ran 100(!) performs in comparison to the Steelers’ 61. However … let’s name it a Tremendous Bowl hangover and now not overreact. They’ll be simply effective.

The Lions are superior: Certain, they misplaced 38-35, however boy good day was once {that a} amusing recreation. A potent offense and a protection that makes Swiss cheese glance downright chhurpi-esque (pause for video) …

… this crew goes to be amusing, amusing, amusing to observe this yr. Let’s correctly react.

And … directly to Week 2!

The +1000 or extra parlay of the week

Misplaced this one remaining week, however that’s OK. Simply want to nail two of those to benefit at the yr. 

Fast reminder: That is gut-check stuff. Early week gut-check stuff. Briefly: I do not know what I’m speaking about, that is only for amusing, and heaven is aware of issues might exchange between now and later. (Additionally: Any rebroadcast, retransmission, or account of this recreation, with out the explicit … )

All proper: Let’s cross to DraftKings (those are Monday morning strains, for the file) and provides me the Steelers instantly up towards the Patriots at +105, Lions-Commanders over 46.5, over 42.5 in Giants-Panthers, and the Bears getting 9.5 issues towards the Packers on Sunday night time for a +1326 journey.

Rationale: Neatly, I talked concerning the Patriots above, and I will’t consider they opened as a 1.5-point favourite in Pittsburgh. That’s a nasty line. As for the Lions, I’ll be having a bet the over each week. The Giants-Panthers quantity is just too low making an allowance for the playmakers on each side of the ball. As for the Bears? It’s my least assured wager right here, but when I’m proper about Rodgers trying out … smartly, everybody had the Bears 2-0 to start out the yr, proper?

The on-paper, surely, three-team teaser that’s certain to lose

Sure, misplaced right here as smartly (noticing a pattern?) thank you to these 49ers, however again to the smartly this week at Caesars at +160 with the Chiefs getting 2.5 issues at house Thursday night time towards the Chargers, the Lions-Commanders recreation going over 40.5, and the Steelers getting 7.5 issues at house towards the Patriots. We’ve lined the Steelers and the Lions, and as for the Chiefs? Neatly, do you wish to have to wager towards the Chiefs, at house, on a brief week? Me neither.

Having a look fishy

The Los Angeles Rams are giving the Atlanta Falcons 11.5 issues at house. A couple of issues right here: The Rams seemed very unhealthy remaining week, the Falcons confirmed their offensive chops remaining week. Taken in combination, I just like the Rams giving a landing; now not so certain I love them giving a landing, a discipline function, and a rouge-and-a-half.

Did I win the DraftKings Milly Maker?

Nope. Needed to beat out 1,194,450 folks to win the $5-milly. I beat out 1,190,641 folks in my highest lineup, just right for three,809th position. That implies, with that lineup, I beat out 99.7% of the opposite entries.

I received $40.

After all, I additionally performed this lineup within the sum general of 0 small-field tournaments. (For the file: Hurts with a Swift/St. Brown runback, JuJu and Kelce with a Hollywood runback, bare Barkley, bare Dotson, Dolphins D.)

DraftKings DFS play(s) of the week

Neatly, nailed Saquon remaining week, in order that’s great.

This week? For starters, if Najee Harris is out — as of now, he’s anticipated to fit up, however who is aware of — Jaylen Warren at $5.4K would be the Steelers’ every-down again. He appears like an uncomfortable play — I imply, he’s an undrafted rookie — but if was once the remaining time Mike Tomlin didn’t characteristic a bell-cow again?

Via the way in which, pricing has in an instant tightened up. No longer numerous screaming price at the moment. (Additionally: Yuck. No Chiefs, Chargers, Expenses, Vikings, or Eagles at the major slate.)

However Barkley continues to be too reasonable at $7.3K, and Jeff Wilson is just too reasonable at $5.1K.

Right here’s one who’s going to head method beneath the radar: Logan Thomas for $3.4K. He performed 48 snaps, ran 25 routes, and was once focused on 5 balls in his first recreation again regardless of a questionable tag. Going up towards the Lions protection — which gave up 4 catches and an almost-touchdown to Dallas Goedert — that may be had. I love Logan!

My mortal lock five-star just for my highest shoppers can’t lose assured highest wager of the week

Yeah, yeah, the 49ers misplaced it for me remaining week. Coming again with the Steelers getting 1.5 at house towards the Patriots. I totally be expecting the Steelers to be no less than two-point favorites by way of kickoff.

E-book of Tobit